Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:30 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.71) 3.05 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.0% 12.2% 70.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.0%
0 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 1.9% 5.8% 8.8% 9.0% 6.9% 4.2%
1 1.7% 5.3% 8.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.8%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack53%100%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.619 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%0%25%67%100%83%
Draws17%33%25%17%0%8%
Loses33%67%50%17%0%8%

Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWL • PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric NAC Breda PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total8715192140
GF avg1.31.21.33.23.53.3
GA total7142110717
GA avg1.22.31.81.71.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%92%83%
1.542%67%92%50%
2.58%17%58%8%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
Wins13
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—6-11-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-2—
Goals For2365
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
Form25%75%
Att30%70%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Unibet
Draw6.37 @ Pinnacle
Away1.36 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 0.91 (league 1.71), PSV Eindhoven = 3.05 (league 1.38)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 1.9% 5.8% 8.8% 9.0% 6.9% 4.2%
1 1.7% 5.3% 8.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.8%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.0% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 70.9%

Vtot 39 , Vtod1