Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 13:30 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.73) 0.95 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 22.5% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 6.1% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjaxGroningen
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack40%33%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax Groningen
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins57%17%38%43%50%46%
Draws14%67%38%29%0%15%
Loses29%17%23%29%50%38%

Form: Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLL • Groningen: LWLWWWLWLWDLD

League goals

Metric Ajax Groningen
HATHAT
GF total11122311819
GF avg1.62.01.81.61.31.5
GA total7121971219
GA avg1.02.01.51.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjaxGroningen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%85%77%77%
1.562%54%54%38%
2.523%8%8%15%
3.50%0%8%15%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjaxGroningen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricAjaxGroningen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAjaxGroningen
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-24-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAjaxGroningen
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.87 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.36 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 1.84 (league 1.73), Groningen = 0.95 (league 1.37)

Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 6.1% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 19.0%

Vtot 19 , Vtod1