Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion Woudestein
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.71) 1.05 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 29.8% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 12.0% 12.5% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsiorNAC Breda
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack32%37%
Defense63%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior NAC Breda
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%43%0%23%
Draws0%14%8%14%33%23%
Loses67%57%62%43%67%54%

Form: Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLW • NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Excelsior NAC Breda
HATHAT
GF total58138715
GF avg0.81.11.01.11.21.2
GA total7172481422
GA avg1.22.41.81.12.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsiorNAC Breda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%69%92%
1.523%62%38%62%
2.50%15%8%15%
3.50%15%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsiorNAC Breda
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricExcelsiorNAC Breda
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricExcelsiorNAC Breda
Wins11
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-1—
Biggest losses1-25-01-23-0
Goals For1223
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricExcelsiorNAC Breda
Form58%42%
Att46%54%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NAC Breda

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away2.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betfair
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior = 1.08 (league 1.71), NAC Breda = 1.05 (league 1.38)

NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 12.0% 12.5% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1