Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 20:00 • Goffertstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.73) 1.31 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 15.1% 14.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Rotterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenSparta Rotterdam
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack58%21%
Defense58%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen Sparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%29%46%29%50%38%
Draws17%29%23%29%0%15%
Loses17%43%31%43%50%46%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDLWW • Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLD

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen Sparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
GF total1815338715
GF avg3.02.12.51.11.21.2
GA total91322151025
GA avg1.51.91.72.11.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenSparta Rotterdam
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%77%69%69%
1.585%46%31%38%
2.546%31%15%38%
3.523%8%0%23%
4.58%8%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenSparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
Clean sheets303134
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenSparta Rotterdam
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenSparta Rotterdam
Wins32
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-42-10-3
Biggest losses3-53-21-56-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against5356

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenSparta Rotterdam
Form53%47%
Att73%27%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Winner : NEC Nijmegen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 2.95 (league 1.73), Sparta Rotterdam = 1.31 (league 1.37)

Sparta Rotterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 14.0%

Vtot 17 , Vtod1