Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:45 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.73) 0.44 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.5% 12.5% 4.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
13.9%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.9% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardHeracles
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack32%74%
Defense53%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.815 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard Heracles
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins67%14%38%50%14%31%
Draws17%14%15%0%0%0%
Loses17%71%46%50%86%69%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWD • Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard Heracles
HATHAT
GF total1091917421
GF avg1.71.31.52.80.61.6
GA total61521171835
GA avg1.02.11.62.82.62.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardHeracles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%62%92%
1.546%54%31%85%
2.515%15%23%38%
3.50%8%15%31%
4.50%8%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardHeracles
HATHAT
Clean sheets303101
Failed to score022145

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardHeracles
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardHeracles
Wins21
Draws10
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-38-21-2
Biggest losses1-25-20-74-0
Goals For3382
Goals Against2574

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardHeracles
Form31%69%
Att30%70%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total55.0%45.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betfair
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 2.55 (league 1.73), Heracles = 0.44 (league 1.37)

Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.9% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 4.5%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1