Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 15:45 • De Grolsch Veste
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.73) 1.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 23.7% 54.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 6.8% 11.8% 10.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwenteAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack50%64%
Defense43%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%29%31%50%57%54%
Draws33%43%38%33%14%23%
Loses33%29%31%17%29%23%

Form: Twente: LLWLDWWWDLDDD • AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Twente AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total91221161026
GF avg1.51.71.62.71.42.0
GA total1091913821
GA avg1.71.31.52.21.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwenteAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%100%77%
1.554%38%62%46%
2.523%15%23%23%
3.58%0%15%8%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwenteAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets101033
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricTwenteAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricTwenteAZ Alkmaar
Wins34
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-54-10-2
Biggest losses0-21-01-53-1
Goals For3542
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricTwenteAZ Alkmaar
Form31%69%
Att44%56%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h20%80%
Goals41%59%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Twente = 0.95 (league 1.73), AZ Alkmaar = 1.73 (league 1.37)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 6.8% 11.8% 10.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 54.9%

Vtot 27 , Vtod1