Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:00 • MAC³PARK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.72) 1.49 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 26.3% 56.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
12.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 11.3% 16.8% 12.6% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.6% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPEC ZwolleHeerenveen
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%56%
Defense22%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PEC Zwolle Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%43%17%31%
Draws17%43%31%43%33%38%
Loses50%43%46%14%50%31%

Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWD • Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDDLW

League goals

Metric PEC Zwolle Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total4121615722
GF avg0.71.71.22.11.21.7
GA total101929121022
GA avg1.72.72.21.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePEC ZwolleHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%85%100%
1.546%77%54%62%
2.50%23%31%8%
3.50%15%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPEC ZwolleHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score303022

Penalties

MetricPEC ZwolleHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPEC ZwolleHeerenveen
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-48-21-22-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against4832

Model comparison

MetricPEC ZwolleHeerenveen
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h15%85%
Goals28%72%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Heerenveen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away1.89 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 0.69 (league 1.72), Heerenveen = 1.49 (league 1.37)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 11.3% 16.8% 12.6% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.6% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 56.1%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1