Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.72) 2.57 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 16.0% 26.2%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.6%
2 - 2
5.1%
3 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
GO Ahead Eagles
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4%
3 1.7% 4.3% 5.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
4 1.4% 3.6% 4.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.3%
5 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack41%47%
Defense41%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar GO Ahead Eagles
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%50%50%43%14%29%
Draws33%13%21%43%29%36%
Loses17%38%29%14%57%36%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWWWLLL • GO Ahead Eagles: DDLDWWLDLWLWLD

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar GO Ahead Eagles
HATHAT
GF total161026121123
GF avg2.71.31.91.71.61.6
GA total1392291524
GA avg2.21.11.61.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%79%86%79%
1.557%43%71%57%
2.521%21%7%21%
3.514%7%0%14%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles
HATHAT
Clean sheets033213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles
Wins42
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-10-34-2
Goals For4232
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles
Form46%54%
Att47%53%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 188Bet
Draw5.60 @ Betano
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 3.29 (league 1.72), GO Ahead Eagles = 2.57 (league 1.37)

GO Ahead Eagles
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4%
3 1.7% 4.3% 5.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
4 1.4% 3.6% 4.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.3%
5 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 26.2%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1