Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:00 • Stadion Woudestein
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.73) 0.80 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 32.1% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 15.9% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsiorGroningen
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%38%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Groningen
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%43%43%43%
Draws0%14%7%29%0%14%
Loses57%57%57%29%57%43%

Form: Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLWW • Groningen: LWLWWWLWLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Excelsior Groningen
HATHAT
GF total681411819
GF avg0.91.11.01.61.11.4
GA total7172471421
GA avg1.02.41.71.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsiorGroningen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%71%79%
1.521%57%50%43%
2.50%14%7%14%
3.50%14%7%14%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsiorGroningen
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricExcelsiorGroningen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricExcelsiorGroningen
Wins13
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-24-1
Goals For1242
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricExcelsiorGroningen
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals23%77%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Groningen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior = 1.04 (league 1.73), Groningen = 0.80 (league 1.37)

Groningen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 15.9% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 27.6%

Vtot 29 , Vtod12