Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:45 • Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.73) 1.53 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 24.8% 41.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 5.7% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta RotterdamNAC Breda
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack18%29%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Rotterdam NAC Breda
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%43%36%43%0%21%
Draws29%0%14%14%29%21%
Loses43%57%50%43%71%57%

Form: Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDL • NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLL

League goals

Metric Sparta Rotterdam NAC Breda
HATHAT
GF total88168715
GF avg1.11.11.11.11.01.1
GA total15132881523
GA avg2.11.92.01.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta RotterdamNAC Breda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%64%93%
1.529%43%36%57%
2.514%43%7%14%
3.50%21%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta RotterdamNAC Breda
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricSparta RotterdamNAC Breda
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSparta RotterdamNAC Breda
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-1—
Biggest losses1-56-11-23-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against5623

Model comparison

MetricSparta RotterdamNAC Breda
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total45.0%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NAC Breda

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.32 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Rotterdam = 1.33 (league 1.73), NAC Breda = 1.53 (league 1.37)

NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 5.7% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 41.5%

vtt 27 , vtd1