Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:45 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.71) 1.04 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 28.5% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 10.4% 10.8% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaUtrecht
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack11%39%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda Utrecht
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%0%20%63%14%40%
Draws14%25%20%25%29%27%
Loses43%75%60%13%57%33%

Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLLL • Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDDD

League goals

Metric NAC Breda Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total871517926
GF avg1.10.91.02.11.31.7
GA total8162471320
GA avg1.12.01.60.91.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%93%87%80%
1.533%53%53%33%
2.57%13%20%13%
3.50%0%13%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score246112

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaUtrecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaUtrecht
Wins12
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-14-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaUtrecht
Form25%75%
Att22%78%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Utrecht and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 1.22 (league 1.71), Utrecht = 1.04 (league 1.38)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 10.4% 10.8% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 31.1%

Vtot 23 , Vtod3