Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:15 • Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.72) 1.52 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 25.6% 46.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 7.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta RotterdamHeerenveen
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack19%31%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%43%40%38%14%27%
Draws25%0%13%38%29%33%
Loses38%57%47%25%57%40%

Form: Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDLW • Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total981715823
GF avg1.11.11.11.91.11.5
GA total151328141226
GA avg1.91.91.91.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta RotterdamHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%80%100%
1.527%40%47%67%
2.513%40%27%7%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta RotterdamHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets235000
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricSparta RotterdamHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSparta RotterdamHeerenveen
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-12-3
Biggest losses1-56-10-22-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against5632

Model comparison

MetricSparta RotterdamHeerenveen
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sparta Rotterdam or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ 1xBet
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Pinnacle
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sparta Rotterdam = 1.09 (league 1.72), Heerenveen = 1.52 (league 1.38)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 7.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 46.7%

vtt 23 , vtd1