Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:45 • Stadion Woudestein
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.72) 1.29 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 25.6% 33.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 6.6% 8.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.1% 7.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack60%70%
Defense30%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Played87158816
Wins38%29%33%50%13%31%
Draws0%14%7%13%38%25%
Loses63%57%60%38%50%44%

Form: Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLWWL • PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Excelsior PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
GF total681471320
GF avg0.81.10.90.91.61.3
GA total91726112536
GA avg1.12.41.71.43.12.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%81%75%
1.520%60%44%69%
2.50%13%0%25%
3.50%13%0%19%
4.50%7%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score224303

Penalties

MetricExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
Wins22
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-48-2
Goals For1222
Goals Against2548

Model comparison

MetricExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
Form41%59%
Att46%54%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PEC Zwolle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior = 1.44 (league 1.72), PEC Zwolle = 1.29 (league 1.37)

PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior 0 6.6% 8.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.1% 7.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 33.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1