Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:45 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.71) 1.23 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 28.8% 42.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 11.1% 13.7% 8.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack42%42%
Defense50%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins50%13%31%43%50%47%
Draws25%13%19%43%13%27%
Loses25%75%50%14%38%27%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLL • AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWWWLLLD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total12921181028
GF avg1.51.11.32.61.31.9
GA total10162615924
GA avg1.32.01.62.11.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%93%80%
1.538%50%60%47%
2.513%19%20%20%
3.50%6%13%7%
4.50%6%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets303033
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
Wins24
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-35-21-53-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against3553

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ 10Bet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away1.79 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 0.96 (league 1.71), AZ Alkmaar = 1.23 (league 1.37)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 11.1% 13.7% 8.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 42.1%

vtt 19 , vtd1