Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:15 • Abe Lenstra Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.71) 3.25 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 12.8% 65.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
1 - 2
7.4%
0 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 1.1% 3.7% 6.0% 6.5% 5.3% 3.4%
1 1.4% 4.5% 7.4% 8.0% 6.5% 4.2%
2 0.9% 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 4.0% 2.6%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeerenveenFeyenoord
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack63%69%
Defense69%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heerenveen Feyenoord
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%67%63%65%
Draws38%22%29%11%13%12%
Loses25%44%35%22%25%24%

Form: Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDDLWLLWW • Feyenoord: WWWWWDWWWLWLLWWLD

League goals

Metric Heerenveen Feyenoord
HATHAT
GF total151429222042
GF avg1.91.61.72.42.52.5
GA total14122612921
GA avg1.81.31.51.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeerenveenFeyenoord
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%88%94%65%
1.553%59%71%35%
2.535%6%35%18%
3.50%0%18%6%
4.50%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeerenveenFeyenoord
HATHAT
Clean sheets022336
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricHeerenveenFeyenoord
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHeerenveenFeyenoord
Wins25
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-36-10-7
Biggest losses0-22-02-42-0
Goals For3367
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricHeerenveenFeyenoord
Form56%44%
Att48%52%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Feyenoord

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heerenveen = 1.22 (league 1.71), Feyenoord = 3.25 (league 1.38)

Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 1.1% 3.7% 6.0% 6.5% 5.3% 3.4%
1 1.4% 4.5% 7.4% 8.0% 6.5% 4.2%
2 0.9% 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 4.0% 2.6%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 65.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1