Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:00 • Goffertstadion
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.71) 1.41 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.5% 14.8% 14.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.4% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenUtrecht
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack93%40%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen Utrecht
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%33%47%56%13%35%
Draws25%33%29%22%38%29%
Loses13%33%24%22%50%35%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDLWWWWDD • Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDDDDL

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total232043181028
GF avg2.92.22.52.01.31.6
GA total12172991423
GA avg1.51.91.71.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%82%88%82%
1.588%53%47%35%
2.547%24%18%12%
3.518%6%12%6%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenUtrecht
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenUtrecht
Wins42
Draws34
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-00-2
Biggest losses3-53-21-24-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenUtrecht
Form73%27%
Att70%30%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h40%60%
Goals56%44%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : NEC Nijmegen or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 3.05 (league 1.71), Utrecht = 1.41 (league 1.38)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.4% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1