Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • BUKO Stadion
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.71) 3.19 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 15.6% 53.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.4%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Telstar 0 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
1 1.2% 3.8% 6.0% 6.4% 5.1% 3.2%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.7% 6.0% 4.8% 3.1%
3 0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 1.9%
4 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTelstarAjax
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack46%77%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Telstar Ajax
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins11%25%18%67%25%47%
Draws44%25%35%11%63%35%
Loses44%50%47%22%13%18%

Form: Telstar: LLDWLLWLLLDDDLDDW • Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWD

League goals

Metric Telstar Ajax
HATHAT
GF total15520151732
GF avg1.70.61.21.72.11.9
GA total1982771522
GA avg2.11.01.60.81.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTelstarAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%82%94%76%
1.535%65%71%47%
2.56%12%24%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTelstarAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets033404
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricTelstarAjax
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTelstarAjax
Wins13
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-22-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricTelstarAjax
Form38%63%
Att38%63%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals27%73%
Total36.8%63.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away1.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Telstar = 1.89 (league 1.71), Ajax = 3.19 (league 1.38)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Telstar 0 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
1 1.2% 3.8% 6.0% 6.4% 5.1% 3.2%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.7% 6.0% 4.8% 3.1%
3 0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 1.9%
4 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 53.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1