Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
BUKO Stadion
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.75)
3.29 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 14.9% | 54.5% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.5%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telstar | 0 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 46% | 77% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 11% | 25% | 18% | 67% | 25% | 47% |
| Draws | 44% | 25% | 35% | 11% | 63% | 35% |
| Loses | 44% | 50% | 47% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
TelstarLLDWLLWLLLDDDLDDW
AjaxWDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 19 | 8 | 27 | 7 | 15 | 22 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Telstar | Ajax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 94% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | 71% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 12% | 24% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Telstar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.16 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away1.87 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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