Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 11:15 •
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.76)
1.62 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.3% | 22.3% | 33.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Groningen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heerenveen | 0 | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 41% | 27% |
| Defense | 73% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Draws | 44% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Loses | 22% | 44% | 33% | 22% | 44% | 33% |
HeerenveenDLLDLWDWWDDLWLLWWD
GroningenLWLWWWLWLWDLDLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 7 | 15 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heerenveen | Groningen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 89% | 72% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 61% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 6% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heerenveen | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ 10Bet
No2.36 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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