Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 20:00 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.71) 1.75 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 23.6% 51.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaNEC Nijmegen
Played55
Form7%73%
Attack7%93%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins33%0%18%63%33%47%
Draws22%25%24%25%33%29%
Loses44%75%59%13%33%24%

Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDL • NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDLWWWWDD

League goals

Metric NAC Breda NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total9716232043
GF avg1.00.90.92.92.22.5
GA total101626121729
GA avg1.12.01.51.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%94%94%82%
1.529%47%88%53%
2.56%12%47%24%
3.50%0%18%6%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score347011

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaNEC Nijmegen
Wins14
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-03-53-2
Goals For2354
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaNEC Nijmegen
Form8%92%
Att7%93%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Winner : NEC Nijmegen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.35 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 1.11 (league 1.71), NEC Nijmegen = 1.75 (league 1.38)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1