Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 19:00 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.71) 2.94 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.0% 13.2% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
8.9%
0 - 3
8.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 2.1% 6.0% 8.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.7%
1 1.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5%
2 0.9% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack53%100%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%11%33%78%100%89%
Draws22%22%22%11%0%6%
Loses22%67%44%11%0%6%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWD • PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total161127312657
GF avg1.81.21.53.42.93.2
GA total13183114822
GA avg1.42.01.71.60.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%94%72%
1.544%56%89%39%
2.517%22%56%11%
3.56%6%44%0%
4.50%6%28%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets303145
Failed to score033101

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
Wins23
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-36-11-5
Biggest losses1-35-20-2—
Goals For4365
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total24.7%75.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Unibet
Draw5.80 @ Dafabet
Away1.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.15 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 0.95 (league 1.71), PSV Eindhoven = 2.94 (league 1.38)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 2.1% 6.0% 8.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.7%
1 1.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5%
2 0.9% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.0% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 69.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1