Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:45 • MAC³PARK Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.71) 1.42 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 27.3% 53.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 11.6% 16.5% 11.7% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack40%47%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PEC Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played810188917
Wins50%10%28%50%44%47%
Draws13%40%28%38%11%24%
Loses38%50%44%13%44%29%

Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWDWLWLD • AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWWWLLLDLW

League goals

Metric PEC Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total71522191332
GF avg0.91.51.22.41.41.9
GA total112839151328
GA avg1.42.82.21.91.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%94%76%
1.539%67%59%47%
2.50%22%24%24%
3.50%17%12%12%
4.50%11%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets314134
Failed to score303011

Penalties

MetricPEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricPEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
Wins24
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-48-21-53-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against4854

Model comparison

MetricPEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
Form64%36%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away1.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 0.74 (league 1.71), AZ Alkmaar = 1.42 (league 1.38)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
PEC Zwolle 0 11.6% 16.5% 11.7% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 53.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1