Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 • Euroborg
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.71) 0.70 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 21.4% 13.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 7.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGroningenFortuna Sittard
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack50%50%
Defense94%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Groningen Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%50%47%50%11%32%
Draws33%10%21%20%22%21%
Loses22%40%32%30%67%47%

Form: Groningen: LWLWWWLWLWDLDLWWDDW • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDL

League goals

Metric Groningen Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
GF total141327171128
GF avg1.61.31.41.71.21.5
GA total71522151833
GA avg0.81.51.21.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGroningenFortuna Sittard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%63%84%84%
1.553%32%42%58%
2.511%11%16%21%
3.55%11%5%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGroningenFortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Clean sheets437303
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricGroningenFortuna Sittard
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricGroningenFortuna Sittard
Wins32
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-35-2
Goals For4243
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricGroningenFortuna Sittard
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Groningen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Dafabet
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away5.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Groningen = 1.87 (league 1.71), Fortuna Sittard = 0.70 (league 1.38)

Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 7.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 13.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1