Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 19:00 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.48 (league 1.76) 0.96 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 9.9% 6.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
8.0%
4 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
NAC Breda
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.2% 6.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
5 5.0% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenNAC Breda
Played55
Form100%13%
Attack94%25%
Defense63%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins78%100%89%30%0%16%
Draws11%0%5%20%33%26%
Loses11%0%5%50%67%58%
PSV EindhovenWWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWW
NAC BredaLWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDLDL

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda
HATHAT
GF total31285912719
GF avg3.42.83.11.20.81.0
GA total14923141630
GA avg1.60.91.21.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenNAC Breda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%74%58%89%
1.589%37%32%47%
2.553%11%11%16%
3.542%0%0%5%
4.526%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenNAC Breda
HATHAT
Clean sheets145112
Failed to score101358

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenNAC Breda
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenNAC Breda
Wins31
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-52-1—
Biggest losses0-2—3-43-0
Goals For6533
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenNAC Breda
Form88%12%
Att79%21%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total75.8%24.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away12.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.53.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Betfair
No2.16 @ 188Bet
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League standings

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