Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 20:00 • De Grolsch Veste
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.71) 0.96 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 19.8% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.7% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwenteExcelsior
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack44%38%
Defense81%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente Excelsior
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%30%37%40%22%32%
Draws33%50%42%10%22%16%
Loses22%20%21%50%56%53%

Form: Twente: LLWLDWWWDLDDDWDWDDW • Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLWWLWLDD

League goals

Metric Twente Excelsior
HATHAT
GF total131629101020
GF avg1.41.61.51.01.11.1
GA total111122122335
GA avg1.21.11.21.22.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwenteExcelsior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%84%
1.547%26%26%58%
2.516%11%0%16%
3.55%0%0%16%
4.55%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwenteExcelsior
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricTwenteExcelsior
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricTwenteExcelsior
Wins32
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-11-2
Biggest losses0-21-00-25-0
Goals For3522
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricTwenteExcelsior
Form64%36%
Att54%46%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals79%21%
Total69.3%30.7%

Advice: Double chance : Twente or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Betano
Draw5.60 @ Dafabet
Away9.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Twente = 2.13 (league 1.71), Excelsior = 0.96 (league 1.38)

Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.7% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 15.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1