Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Asito Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.73) 2.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 18.9% 41.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 1.0% 2.3% 2.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.1% 5.1% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.6%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeraclesFortuna Sittard
Played55
Form0%47%
Attack26%47%
Defense21%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heracles Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins33%9%20%50%20%35%
Draws11%9%10%20%20%20%
Loses56%82%70%30%60%45%

Form: Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLLLLL • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Heracles Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
GF total181028171330
GF avg2.00.91.41.71.31.5
GA total232952151934
GA avg2.62.62.61.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeraclesFortuna Sittard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%95%85%85%
1.530%80%45%55%
2.520%40%15%20%
3.510%30%5%5%
4.55%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeraclesFortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score358033

Penalties

MetricHeraclesFortuna Sittard
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHeraclesFortuna Sittard
Wins32
Draws22
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-74-01-35-2
Goals For8343
Goals Against7435

Model comparison

MetricHeraclesFortuna Sittard
Form0%100%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total36.2%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fortuna Sittard and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heracles = 2.19 (league 1.73), Fortuna Sittard = 2.46 (league 1.37)

Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 1.0% 2.3% 2.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.1% 5.1% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.6%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 41.4%

vtt 17 , vtd1