Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:00 • Rat Verlegh Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.74) 1.11 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 23.8% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 5.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAC BredaExcelsior
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack50%43%
Defense36%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAC Breda Excelsior
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins27%0%14%36%20%29%
Draws27%40%33%18%30%24%
Loses45%60%52%45%50%48%

Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDLDLDD • Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLWWLWLDDDD

League goals

Metric NAC Breda Excelsior
HATHAT
GF total14923121022
GF avg1.30.91.11.11.01.0
GA total161834142337
GA avg1.51.81.61.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAC BredaExcelsior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%90%76%81%
1.538%52%29%57%
2.510%14%0%14%
3.50%5%0%14%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAC BredaExcelsior
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score358235

Penalties

MetricNAC BredaExcelsior
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNAC BredaExcelsior
Wins12
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-11-2
Biggest losses3-43-00-25-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against4325

Model comparison

MetricNAC BredaExcelsior
Form43%57%
Att54%46%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : NAC Breda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Dafabet
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 1.72 (league 1.74), Excelsior = 1.11 (league 1.35)

Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAC Breda 0 5.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 12 , vtd1