Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:30 • Goffertstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.19 (league 1.74) 0.93 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.4% 6.4% 3.6%
best score tips
4 - 0
7.7%
3 - 0
7.3%
4 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.7% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenHeracles
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%33%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen Heracles
HATHAT
Played91120101121
Wins67%45%55%40%9%24%
Draws22%27%25%10%9%10%
Loses11%27%20%50%82%67%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDLWWWWDDWWW • Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen Heracles
HATHAT
GF total252752201030
GF avg2.82.52.62.00.91.4
GA total132134242953
GA avg1.41.91.72.42.62.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenHeracles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%85%62%95%
1.590%50%33%76%
2.550%25%19%38%
3.520%5%10%29%
4.55%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenHeracles
HATHAT
Clean sheets303101
Failed to score011358

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenHeracles
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenHeracles
Wins43
Draws32
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-48-21-2
Biggest losses3-53-20-74-0
Goals For5483
Goals Against5374

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenHeracles
Form79%21%
Att76%24%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total69.5%30.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : NEC Nijmegen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw5.16 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 4.19 (league 1.74), Heracles = 0.93 (league 1.36)

Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.7% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 3.6%

vtt 7 , vtd1