Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 20:00 • Euroborg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.71) 1.02 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 26.9% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 8.9% 9.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGroningenUtrecht
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack27%33%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Groningen Utrecht
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins36%45%41%45%18%32%
Draws27%9%18%18%36%27%
Loses36%45%41%36%45%41%

Form: Groningen: LWLWWWLWLWDLDLWWDDWLLL • Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDDDDLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Groningen Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total161329181533
GF avg1.51.21.31.61.41.5
GA total111728111829
GA avg1.01.51.31.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGroningenUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%68%82%86%
1.545%41%41%32%
2.59%9%18%9%
3.55%9%9%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGroningenUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score336314

Penalties

MetricGroningenUtrecht
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricGroningenUtrecht
Wins32
Draws24
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-24-1
Goals For4243
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricGroningenUtrecht
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Utrecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Groningen = 1.40 (league 1.71), Utrecht = 1.02 (league 1.37)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Groningen 0 8.9% 9.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 27.3%

vtt 10 , vtd1