Fri, Feb 20 2026 • 19:00 •
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.75)
1.23 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 21.2% | 22.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 21% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 27% | 67% | 48% | 50% | 45% | 48% |
Fortuna SittardDLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDLWLDL
ExcelsiorLLLWLWLLWLDLWWLWLDDDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 16 | 23 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 87% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 61% | 30% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 22% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Bwin
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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