Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 17:45 • Asito Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.73) 4.35 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.9% 6.4% 62.4%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 4
6.8%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 0.5% 2.0% 4.3% 6.3% 6.8% 5.9%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeraclesPSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack33%73%
Defense7%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heracles PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins36%8%21%75%92%83%
Draws9%8%8%17%0%8%
Loses55%85%71%8%8%8%

Form: Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLLLLLWLLL • PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Heracles PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total201131393170
GF avg1.80.81.33.32.62.9
GA total253762171229
GA avg2.32.82.61.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeraclesPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%96%96%75%
1.529%75%88%38%
2.517%42%50%8%
3.58%33%33%0%
4.54%4%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeraclesPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets101246
Failed to score4610101

Penalties

MetricHeraclesPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHeraclesPSV Eindhoven
Wins313
Draws21
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-26-11-5
Biggest losses0-74-00-22-1
Goals For8365
Goals Against7433

Model comparison

MetricHeraclesPSV Eindhoven
Form23%77%
Att31%69%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h7%93%
Goals30%70%
Total23.5%76.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Unibet
Draw6.55 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Betano
Under 2.53.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heracles = 1.04 (league 1.73), PSV Eindhoven = 4.35 (league 1.37)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 0.5% 2.0% 4.3% 6.3% 6.8% 5.9%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 62.4%

vtt 14 , vtd1