Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 20:00 •
Goffertstadion
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.75)
1.45 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
2 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortuna Sittard | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 53% |
| Defense | 53% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 64% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 18% | 38% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 18% | 23% | 21% | 25% | 67% | 46% |
NEC NijmegenWWWLLLWDDDLWWWWDDWWWWLDD
Fortuna SittardDLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDLWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 29 | 59 | 21 | 15 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 23 | 40 | 18 | 25 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 46% | 46% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 25% | 13% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 63.2% | 36.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw5.30 @ 188Bet
Away7.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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