Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • Asito Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.71) 2.33 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 19.8% 49.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.0% 7.1% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeraclesUtrecht
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack40%80%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heracles Utrecht
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%8%20%46%25%36%
Draws8%8%8%23%33%28%
Loses58%85%72%31%42%36%

Form: Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLLLLLWLLLL • Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDDDDLLLDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Heracles Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total211132211738
GF avg1.80.81.31.61.41.5
GA total283765121931
GA avg2.32.82.60.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeraclesUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%96%84%84%
1.528%76%44%28%
2.516%44%16%8%
3.58%32%8%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeraclesUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score4610314

Penalties

MetricHeraclesUtrecht
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricHeraclesUtrecht
Wins32
Draws24
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-74-01-24-1
Goals For8343
Goals Against7424

Model comparison

MetricHeraclesUtrecht
Form23%77%
Att33%67%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Utrecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.23 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heracles = 1.69 (league 1.71), Utrecht = 2.33 (league 1.38)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.0% 7.1% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 49.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1