Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:00 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.71) 0.81 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 21.6% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Rotterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 6.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.3% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjaxSparta Rotterdam
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack33%29%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax Sparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%23%42%38%46%42%
Draws23%62%42%31%8%19%
Loses15%15%15%31%46%38%

Form: Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWDDL • Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDLWLWWWWWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Ajax Sparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
GF total242448151833
GF avg1.81.81.81.21.41.3
GA total112334202343
GA avg0.81.81.31.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjaxSparta Rotterdam
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%77%81%65%
1.565%46%31%42%
2.523%8%12%35%
3.54%0%4%12%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjaxSparta Rotterdam
HATHAT
Clean sheets516459
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricAjaxSparta Rotterdam
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAjaxSparta Rotterdam
Wins35
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-56-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against2356

Model comparison

MetricAjaxSparta Rotterdam
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h75%25%
Goals59%41%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 1.90 (league 1.71), Sparta Rotterdam = 0.81 (league 1.38)

Sparta Rotterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 6.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.3% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1