Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 19:00 • Abe Lenstra Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.73) 1.36 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 25.1% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
8.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Telstar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 6.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.6% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeerenveenTelstar
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack63%53%
Defense58%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heerenveen Telstar
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%38%38%15%23%19%
Draws38%15%27%38%31%35%
Loses23%46%35%46%46%46%

Form: Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDDLWLLWWDLDLWWLWW • Telstar: LLDWLLWLLLDDDLDDWLDLLDDLWW

League goals

Metric Heerenveen Telstar
HATHAT
GF total242044211435
GF avg1.81.51.71.61.11.3
GA total222244241842
GA avg1.71.71.71.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeerenveenTelstar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%92%77%85%
1.554%58%38%58%
2.531%12%12%15%
3.54%4%8%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeerenveenTelstar
HATHAT
Clean sheets022134
Failed to score235246

Penalties

MetricHeerenveenTelstar
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricHeerenveenTelstar
Wins21
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-33-01-4
Biggest losses0-25-01-34-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricHeerenveenTelstar
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h80%20%
Goals57%43%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Heerenveen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.78 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heerenveen = 1.46 (league 1.73), Telstar = 1.36 (league 1.37)

Telstar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 6.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.6% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 35.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1