Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 19:00 •
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.75)
1.39 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.2% | 25.1% | 36.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Telstar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heerenveen | 0 | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 63% | 53% |
| Defense | 58% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 15% | 23% | 19% |
| Draws | 38% | 15% | 27% | 38% | 31% | 35% |
| Loses | 23% | 46% | 35% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
HeerenveenDLLDLWDWWDDLWLLWWDLDLWWLWW
TelstarLLDWLLWLLLDDDLDDWLDLLDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 20 | 44 | 21 | 14 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 22 | 44 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heerenveen | Telstar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 92% | 77% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 58% | 38% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 12% | 12% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heerenveen | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.78 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.67 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…