Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:45 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.33 (league 1.73) 2.24 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 15.6% 22.3%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 2
5.3%
3 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
2 2.1% 4.7% 5.3% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
3 2.3% 5.2% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.4% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenNEC Nijmegen
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack52%38%
Defense71%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins77%92%85%62%38%50%
Draws15%0%8%15%38%27%
Loses8%8%8%23%23%23%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWLWWW • NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDLWWWWDDWWWWLDDLW

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total413475352964
GF avg3.22.62.92.72.22.5
GA total181331202343
GA avg1.41.01.21.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%77%96%85%
1.588%35%81%46%
2.550%8%46%27%
3.531%0%19%4%
4.519%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets246404
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenNEC Nijmegen
Wins134
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-55-01-4
Biggest losses0-22-13-53-2
Goals For6554
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenNEC Nijmegen
Form71%29%
Att58%42%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : PSV Eindhoven or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.60 @ 188Bet
Away6.28 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ 188Bet
No3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 3.33 (league 1.73), NEC Nijmegen = 2.24 (league 1.37)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
2 2.1% 4.7% 5.3% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
3 2.3% 5.2% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.4% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1