Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:30 • De Kuip
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.74) 1.85 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 19.0% 27.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feyenoord 0 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.0% 7.5% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeyenoordAjax
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack50%63%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feyenoord Ajax
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins71%46%59%64%23%44%
Draws7%23%15%21%62%41%
Loses21%31%26%14%15%15%

Form: Feyenoord: WWWWWDWWWLWLLWWLDDLWLWWWLDW • Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWDDLW

League goals

Metric Feyenoord Ajax
HATHAT
GF total342660282452
GF avg2.42.02.22.01.81.9
GA total201939112334
GA avg1.41.51.40.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeyenoordAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%70%93%74%
1.567%44%67%44%
2.533%22%26%7%
3.515%7%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeyenoordAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets448617
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricFeyenoordAjax
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFeyenoordAjax
Wins53
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-74-01-3
Biggest losses2-43-00-23-1
Goals For6743
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricFeyenoordAjax
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals65%35%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Feyenoord or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.66 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Feyenoord = 2.49 (league 1.74), Ajax = 1.85 (league 1.36)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feyenoord 0 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.0% 7.5% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 27.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1