Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • Asito Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.73) 1.77 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 21.5% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeraclesExcelsior
Played55
Form7%0%
Attack5%21%
Defense37%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heracles Excelsior
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%7%19%29%23%26%
Draws15%7%11%14%23%19%
Loses54%86%70%57%54%56%

Form: Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLLLLLWLLLLDL • Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLWWLWLDDDDWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Heracles Excelsior
HATHAT
GF total211132141428
GF avg1.60.81.21.01.11.0
GA total284169192746
GA avg2.22.92.61.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeraclesExcelsior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%93%78%81%
1.526%74%26%59%
2.515%44%0%11%
3.57%33%0%11%
4.54%4%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeraclesExcelsior
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score5712336

Penalties

MetricHeraclesExcelsior
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricHeraclesExcelsior
Wins32
Draws24
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-74-00-25-0
Goals For8322
Goals Against7425

Model comparison

MetricHeraclesExcelsior
Form100%0%
Att20%80%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h40%60%
Goals41%59%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Excelsior

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.53 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heracles = 1.94 (league 1.73), Excelsior = 1.77 (league 1.37)

Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 34.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1