Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 11:15 • Goffertstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.73) 1.64 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 17.9% 22.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.6% 6.0% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenHeerenveen
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack53%63%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%43%52%43%38%41%
Draws15%36%26%36%15%26%
Loses23%21%22%21%46%33%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWLLLWDDDLWWWWDDWWWWLDDLWW • Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDDLWLLWWDLDLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total353267272047
GF avg2.72.32.51.91.51.7
GA total202545222244
GA avg1.51.81.71.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%85%81%89%
1.581%48%56%56%
2.548%26%33%11%
3.519%4%4%4%
4.54%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets404123
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenHeerenveen
Wins42
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses3-53-20-25-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against5335

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenHeerenveen
Form40%60%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals62%38%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : NEC Nijmegen or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 188Bet
Draw4.35 @ 188Bet
Away4.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.95 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 2.65 (league 1.73), Heerenveen = 1.64 (league 1.37)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.6% 6.0% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1