Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:45 • AFAS Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.74) 1.65 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.7% 18.6% 23.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
6.8%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.9% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack53%60%
Defense47%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins46%40%43%43%29%36%
Draws38%7%21%21%14%18%
Loses15%53%36%36%57%46%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WDWWDDLWWWWLLLDLWLDWLDWWLLWL • Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDLWLDLWWLWL

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Fortuna Sittard
HATHAT
GF total291847232043
GF avg2.21.21.71.61.41.5
GA total212445242852
GA avg1.61.61.61.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%79%89%89%
1.546%46%46%61%
2.521%25%14%21%
3.511%7%4%11%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
HATHAT
Clean sheets246303
Failed to score033033

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
Wins42
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-53-01-45-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against5445

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Dafabet
Draw5.60 @ 188Bet
Away8.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 10Bet
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 2.53 (league 1.74), Fortuna Sittard = 1.65 (league 1.36)

Fortuna Sittard
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.9% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 23.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1