Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:30 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.74) 1.55 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 18.6% 22.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
7.0%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 8.4% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenUtrecht
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack73%47%
Defense40%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Utrecht
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins71%86%79%50%29%39%
Draws14%0%7%21%36%29%
Loses14%14%14%29%36%32%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWLWWWLL • Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDDDDLLLDLWWDWDWW

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total433578231942
GF avg3.12.52.81.61.41.5
GA total211637121931
GA avg1.51.11.30.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenUtrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%79%82%75%
1.586%39%46%25%
2.546%14%14%7%
3.529%0%7%4%
4.518%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenUtrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets246437
Failed to score101325

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenUtrecht
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenUtrecht
Wins132
Draws14
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-54-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-24-1
Goals For6543
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenUtrecht
Form45%55%
Att61%39%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : PSV Eindhoven or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Dafabet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away6.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 2.50 (league 1.74), Utrecht = 1.55 (league 1.35)

Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 8.4% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 22.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1