Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 19:00 • Asito Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.74) 2.79 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 16.9% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
7.3%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 1.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8%
1 2.0% 5.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeraclesAjax
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack25%58%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heracles Ajax
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%7%17%60%21%41%
Draws21%7%14%20%64%41%
Loses50%87%69%20%14%17%

Form: Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLLLLLWLLLLDLDL • Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWDDLWDL

League goals

Metric Heracles Ajax
HATHAT
GF total221234292554
GF avg1.60.81.21.91.81.9
GA total294574132437
GA avg2.13.02.60.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeraclesAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%93%93%76%
1.524%72%62%45%
2.514%45%24%7%
3.57%34%7%0%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeraclesAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets202617
Failed to score5712112

Penalties

MetricHeraclesAjax
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricHeraclesAjax
Wins33
Draws22
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-74-00-23-1
Goals For8343
Goals Against7423

Model comparison

MetricHeraclesAjax
Form29%71%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total30.6%69.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Unibet
Draw4.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.62 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heracles = 1.57 (league 1.74), Ajax = 2.79 (league 1.35)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 1.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8%
1 2.0% 5.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 56.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1