Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 12:30 •
MAC³PARK Stadion
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.76)
0.99 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.2% | 26.2% | 25.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle | 0 | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 31% | 23% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 7% | 28% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Draws | 21% | 40% | 31% | 13% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 53% | 41% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
PEC ZwolleWWLLLDLLDDLWDWLWLDWLWLLDDDDWL
ExcelsiorLLLWLWLLWLDLWWLWLDDDDWLLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 41 | 58 | 21 | 28 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 76% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 55% | 24% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 17% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 8-2 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ SBO
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…