Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:00 •
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.75)
1.99 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 21.5% | 56.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda | 0 | 4.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 26% | 53% |
| Defense | 37% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 7% | 17% | 60% | 27% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
NAC BredaLWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDLDLDDLWWLDLLDD
AjaxWDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWDDLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 21 | 30 | 51 | 13 | 24 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NAC Breda | Ajax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 83% | 93% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 53% | 63% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 27% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NAC Breda | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.03 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ Unibet
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League standings
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