Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:00 • S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.37) 0.69 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.4% 17.9% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Suduva Marijampole
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kauno Žalgiris 0 5.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 8.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.8% 6.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%70%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kauno Žalgiris Suduva Marijampole
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins77%60%68%50%43%46%
Draws8%33%21%43%29%36%
Loses15%7%11%7%29%18%

Form: Kauno Žalgiris: WLDWDDWWLWWWWWDWWWWWWWDLWDWW • Suduva Marijampole: WWLWWDLDWDWWDWDDDWWDLDLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Kauno Žalgiris Suduva Marijampole
HATHAT
GF total332457211940
GF avg2.51.62.01.51.41.4
GA total81018101727
GA avg0.60.70.60.71.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%54%75%57%
1.568%11%43%29%
2.539%0%14%11%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
HATHAT
Clean sheets67137512
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricKauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricKauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
Wins72
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-54-00-3
Biggest losses1-21-02-33-0
Goals For6544
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricKauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
Form50%50%
Att59%41%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h25%75%
Goals30%70%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Kauno Žalgiris or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away6.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kauno Žalgiris = 2.19 (league 1.37), Suduva Marijampole = 0.69 (league 1.22)

Suduva Marijampole
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kauno Žalgiris 0 5.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 8.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.8% 6.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.4% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 10.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1