Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Znicza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.34 (league 1.55) 0.70 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 4.7% 2.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.6%
3 - 0
8.8%
5 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
ŁKS Łódź
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack35%25%
Defense50%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki ŁKS Łódź
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%60%0%30%
Draws40%20%30%40%20%30%
Loses0%60%30%0%80%40%

Form: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: WDWLWLDLDW • ŁKS Łódź: WLWLWLDDLD

League goals

Metric Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki ŁKS Łódź
HATHAT
GF total1462010414
GF avg2.81.22.02.00.81.4
GA total6101621214
GA avg1.22.01.60.42.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%80%60%
1.560%40%30%50%
2.530%30%10%10%
3.520%0%10%10%
4.50%0%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
HATHAT
Clean sheets101404
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-0
Biggest losses3-05-0
Goals For4251
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiŁKS Łódź
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.5%

Advice: Winner : Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki = 4.34 (league 1.55), ŁKS Łódź = 0.70 (league 1.37)

ŁKS Łódź
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 2.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1