Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:30 • Stadion Stal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.56) 1.53 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 21.3% 28.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Stal Mielec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Rzeszów 0 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal RzeszówStal Mielec
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack58%50%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Rzeszów Stal Mielec
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%40%40%17%50%30%
Draws40%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses20%60%40%50%50%50%

Form: Stal Rzeszów: LWDWDLLWWL • Stal Mielec: LWLDLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Stal Rzeszów Stal Mielec
HATHAT
GF total87157613
GF avg1.61.41.51.21.51.3
GA total781513821
GA avg1.41.61.52.22.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal RzeszówStal Mielec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%70%90%
1.540%60%30%70%
2.510%10%10%30%
3.510%10%10%20%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal RzeszówStal Mielec
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricStal RzeszówStal Mielec
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricStal RzeszówStal Mielec
Wins22
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-42-14-5
Biggest losses1-24-00-42-0
Goals For2425
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricStal RzeszówStal Mielec
Form46%54%
Att54%46%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stal Mielec

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away2.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Rzeszów = 2.04 (league 1.56), Stal Mielec = 1.53 (league 1.38)

Stal Mielec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Rzeszów 0 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 28.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1