Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:30 • Stadion Miejski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55) 2.10 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 20.9% 53.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.2%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tychy 71 0 3.4% 7.1% 7.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.8% 5.9% 6.2% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTychy 71Pogoń Siedlce
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack33%42%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tychy 71 Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%20%40%30%
Draws20%20%20%40%20%30%
Loses60%40%50%40%40%40%

Form: Tychy 71: WWLDDWLLLL • Pogoń Siedlce: DLLWWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Tychy 71 Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
GF total105155611
GF avg2.01.01.51.01.21.1
GA total128205510
GA avg2.41.62.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTychy 71Pogoń Siedlce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%80%60%
1.550%60%30%30%
2.520%30%0%10%
3.510%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTychy 71Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricTychy 71Pogoń Siedlce
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricTychy 71Pogoń Siedlce
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-31-22-00-2
Biggest losses3-44-02-32-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricTychy 71Pogoń Siedlce
Form38%63%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total39.0%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogoń Siedlce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tychy 71 = 1.29 (league 1.55), Pogoń Siedlce = 2.10 (league 1.37)

Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tychy 71 0 3.4% 7.1% 7.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.8% 5.9% 6.2% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 53.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1