Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.56) 1.60 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 25.0% 50.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chrobry Głogów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal MielecChrobry Głogów
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack43%43%
Defense36%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Mielec Chrobry Głogów
HATHAT
Played65117411
Wins17%40%27%57%0%36%
Draws33%0%18%14%75%36%
Loses50%60%55%29%25%27%

Form: Stal Mielec: LWLDLWWDLLL • Chrobry Głogów: WLDWDLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Stal Mielec Chrobry Głogów
HATHAT
GF total781512416
GF avg1.21.61.41.71.01.5
GA total1311247512
GA avg2.22.22.21.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal MielecChrobry Głogów
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%82%73%
1.536%73%55%36%
2.59%36%9%0%
3.59%18%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal MielecChrobry Głogów
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricStal MielecChrobry Głogów
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricStal MielecChrobry Głogów
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-53-0
Biggest losses0-42-01-22-1
Goals For2532
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricStal MielecChrobry Głogów
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h64%36%
Goals75%25%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chrobry Głogów

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Mielec = 1.00 (league 1.56), Chrobry Głogów = 1.60 (league 1.38)

Chrobry Głogów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 50.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1